Over the past two years, market participants have gradually come to recognize
the painful realities of the slowing U.S. economy, a fragile banking system, and
a scared consumer - and even worse problems in some other countries - and the
global markets were severely shaken. The S&P declined over 54% from its highs of
October 2007 to the lows of early March 2009, before the recent rally.
During its 18-month history, the Core Fund has largely sidestepped the
unprecedented volatility and harsh drops of the worldwide markets. January and
February were hugely painful months for investors who have "traditional"
portfolios - meaning a substantial allocation to stocks and equity mutual funds
plus a buy-and-hold approach. After a dismal year in 2008, the S&P and the Dow
were down another 25% in the first ten weeks of the year - while the Core Fund
declined only 3.2%.
Strong global rallies began in March and continued into early June. Our
timetested "Buy" disciplines moved us into a relatively fully-invested position
in March, and the equity-fund allocations within the Core Fund participated
quite fully in those uptrends. Although the markets stagnated for the past
several weeks, resulting in our changing some portfolio positions, the Core Fund
is impressively positive year to date, for the latest 12 months, and from
inception.
Certainly the U.S. economy as well as the rest of the world continues to
confront major and complex problems. In a situation like this, history tell us
that there is a good probability that what occurred this spring could prove to
be just a typical Bear Market rally, and the stock market may suffer more strong
downward cycles over the coming year or two. In that event, our very diversified
Asset Allocation and the "Sell" disciplines that we have applied over the past
22 years are designed to again limit the impact on the Core Fund.
- June 30, 2009
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TOP TEN HOLDINGS - JUNE 9, 2008
|
|
Goldman Sachs money market fund
|
16.8%
|
|
Eaton Vance High Yield Muni Bond Fund
|
10.3%
|
|
Rydex Commodities Fund, Inst’l Shares
|
10.2%
|
|
Rydex Energy Fund, Institutional Shares
|
9.9%
|
|
ProFunds Rising Rates Fund, Inst’l Shares
|
6.9%
|
|
Oppenheimer Global Bond Fund
|
6.1%
|
|
PIMCo Developing & Local Markets
|
6.1%
|
|
Bond Fund, Inst’l Shares
|
|
|
Permanent Portfolio Fund
|
6.0%
|
|
Tweedy Browne Global Value Fund
|
5.2%
|
|
Rydex Real Estate Equities Fund, Inst’l Shares
|
4.3%
|
|
Subtotal
|
81.8%
|
NOTE: Holdings can change at any time without notice.